Quinnipiac University pollsters also quizzed likely voters about four presidential candidates — Trump, Clinton, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and the Green Party nominee. In that four-way race, Johnson, the Libertarian, got 10 percent support, Jill Stein of the Green Party got two percent and Trump’s lead over Clinton stretched to seven points.
The Quinnipiac Poll taken in Iowa a month ago showed Clinton with a two-point lead here.
Digging into other data in this new poll, Trump has an overwhelming 26 point lead among Iowa voters who are men. Clinton has a 10 point lead among women voters in Iowa. Peter Brown, the poll’s assistant director, says Trump is “running better in Iowa than other Midwestern states.”
Trump has a slight lead here among “no-party” or independent voters. Independents are the largest voting block in Iowa. The poll found 86 percent of Iowa Republicans backing Trump, while Clinton had the backing of 83 percent of Democrats.
Iowa GOP chairman Jeff Kaufmann said Trump is “solidifying” his support among Republicans who backed other candidates in the Caucuses.
“The enthusiasm that I’m seeing out there is at a level that I did not see, quite frankly, with McCain or with Mitt Romney,” Kaufmann told Radio Iowa.
Robby Mook, Clinton’s campaign manager, spoke with Iowa reporters by phone four hours before the poll was released. He called Iowa a “battleground state.”
“Iowa could absolutely be the state that gets Hillary over the 270 mark (in the Electoral College),” Mook said. “…We run thousands of scenarios each night here on the campaign to look at where states stack up and Iowa continues to be right at the heart of those pivotal states.”
The Clinton campaign is identifying occasional voters, mapping out if they live close enough to the county auditor’s office or a “satellite voting” location to cast their ballot in person, but before November 8. Absentee vote-by-mail is an option touted to other infrequent voters.
“Targeting different voters to make sure that we’re offering them the easiest way to go vote,” Mook said.
Kaufmann said 2014 was a “transformational year” for the GOP, as the party stopped resisting and began an “early voting” push.
“We are doing everything we did then, then probably hundreds of thousands of dollars more,” Kaufmann said.
Early voting begins next week in Iowa, on Thursday, September 29.
This month’s Quinnipiac University Poll in Iowa has a margin of error of plus or minus four percent. In a two-person match-up in Iowa, Trump had 50 percent compared to Clinton’s 44 percent. In a four-way race, Trump had 44 percent; Clinton had 37 percent; Johnson had 10 percent and Stein had two percent.
Gail Weinholzer, with AAA-Iowa, notes today is the day of the autumnal equinox and the sun could be blinding during the morning and afternoon commutes for the next few weeks.
“The days are getting shorter, the darkness is getting longer,” Weinholzer says. “It can definitely affect people as they drive, especially to and from work.” There are no statistics kept in Iowa as to how many crashes occur related to drivers affected by the sun’s blazing light, right in our line of sight. Fall officially arrived at 9:21 this morning.
“The glare of dawn and dusk can be difficult for some drivers to adjust to and it’s important that they do that,” Weinholzer says. “Because the days are getting shorter and the nights are getting longer, it can also have an impact on making us feel more drowsy and we should be aware of that as well.”
While the autumnal equinox marks the first day of fall in Iowa and all across the northern hemisphere, on the other half of the world south of the equator, this is the first day of spring.
(Reporting by Pat Powers, KQWC, Webster City)
Latinos make up 5.7 percent of Iowa’s population, making them the largest minority group in the state. Thirty-two percent of the Latinos in Iowa were not born in this county. Seventy-eight percent of them came to Iowa from Mexico.
The median age of Latinos in Iowa is 22.2, while the state median age is 38.1. The median income of Latino households in 2015 was a little more than $38,000, while the statewide median household income was $54,736.
The poverty rate was 25.6 percent, while the corresponding rate for Iowa is 12.2 percent. The average family size for the Iowa Latino population in 2015 was 3.82, compared to the overall average family size in the state of 2.99
Over half of the growth in Iowa’s Latino population from 2000-2015 occurred in seven counties: Polk, Woodbury, Johnson, Marshall, Scott, Pottawattamie, and Linn. Polk County had the largest overall population of Latinios at 21.4 percent.
The Latino population in Ringgold increased by 731 percent and by 652 percent in Lyon county between 2000 and 2015. When it comes to the overall population, 27.4 percent of all residents of Crawford County were Latino, followed by Buena Vista (24.6%), Marshall (20.7%), Muscatine (17.5%), and Louisa (16.2%).
You can find out more at the Iowa Date Center’s website.
Authorities say Nicholas Allen Cannon was driving a stolen vehicle as they chased him through Adams and Montgomery Counties early Tuesday morning. The vehicle hit a deer along Highway 34 and wound up in a ditch. Cannon fled on foot.
A few hours later, someone called police to report a suspicious man was on the north side of the HyVee in Red Oak. Police recognized the man as the suspect in the vehicle chase. After a foot chase, Cannon was hit with a Taser and arrested. Cannon faces felony charges related to the car chase and arrest. He also will be charged with criminal mischief for allegedly breaking into the change machine at a Red Oak laundromat. That happened sometime after the car chase and before he was seen at the HyVee.
Cannon was initially taken to the hospital in Red Oak to be treated for injuries from his fall after being Tasered. Tests determined he had internal injuries from the car crash, so he was taken to a hospital in Omaha. Officials say Cannon’s injuries do not appear to be life-threatening.
(Reporting by Kay Henderson, Radio Iowa, and Mike Peterson, KMA-Shenandoah)
Three Texas sisters, all of whom sing and play fiddles, are making two stops in Iowa tonight and tomorrow.
The Quebe Sisters appear to be young, but they have a wealth of on-stage experience, as they’ve been performing together almost 20 years. The youngest of the sisters, 26-year-old Hulda, says they play a wide range of music, centered on Americana.
“We play a blend of country, swing, a little jazz, western swing, Texas-style fiddling, a lot of acoustic music,” Quebe says. “We’re starting to write some originals, too.” She says Texas-style fiddling is a “close cousin” to what Iowans call bluegrass. Growing up in a suburb of Fort Worth, the girls attended their first local fiddle competition in 1998 and decided fiddling was what they wanted to do. They’ve been touring professionally since 2002.
“It honestly wasn’t something that we had planned on doing when we started out playing,” Quebe says. “We enjoyed playing, fiddling. All three of us started at the same time. We basically started on the same day. I was 7, Sophia was 10 and Grace was 12.” The three sisters are backed by a standup bass and a guitarist. Hulda is married to the brother of the guitarist and he’s married to the eldest sister. With that many family members in close proximity, is there ever friction?
“Being in a band has really forced us to learn how to work together and be really efficient and not get on each other’s nerves and learn how to be respectful of each other’s space,” Quebe says, laughing. “The three of us have always had a vision of how to run our business and the type of music we’ve always agreed that we wanted to play.”
The Quebe Sisters will play at the Temple Theater in Des Moines tonight and at the Redstone Room in Davenport on Friday night.
Officials in Cedar Rapids held a news conference this afternoon to warn of potential flooding and try to ease concerns among residents who lived through the city’s record flooding in 2008.
Cedar Rapids Mayor Ron Corbett said it appears likely there will be flooding in low-lying neighborhoods.
“But we have four days to get ready,” Corbett said, “and now is the time to start.”
Cedar Rapids city manager Jeff Pomerantz said forecasts can change, but it is “absolutely critical” for residents to take precautions.
“The city has, with our partners, learned a tremendous amount since 2008,” Pomerantz said. “We have new equipment, resources that we didn’t have before and, most importantly, we have new training and better capability than we had in the past.”
The forecast is for the Cedar River to crest in downtown Cedar Rapids on Monday at just over 24 feet. Cedar Rapids public works director Jen Winner plans to set up two areas tomorrow for volunteers to help with sand-bagging efforts.
“If the predictions…hold true, it’s anticipated we will have flooding occursin the areas of Time Czech, the downtown core, the NewBo District and Czech Village,” she said.
Street closures will begin Saturday in low-lying areas of the city.
“We want to close them before the water hits the road for the safety of the general public,” Winter said.
Mark English, the fire chief for Cedar Rapids, said officials will review the latest flood predictions on Sunday morning and evacuations may be ordered.
“Remember: if we do get to 24 feet, homes and business will be impacted,” English said.
Current forecasts indicate the river will begin to rise quickly in Cedar Rapids on Sunday. Mayor Corbett said “every precaution available” will be deployed by city officials. He’s urged private property owners to check forecasts and make preparations if their property is in the predicted flood zone.
“We’ve been here before, unfortunately,” Corbett said. “But if you believe in ‘experience is the best teacher,’ we’ve had a chance to learn a lot since that 2008 event.”
The Cedar River in Cedar Rapids crested at just over 31 feet in June of 2008. This year’s predicted crest in Cedar Rapids would be seven feet lower, but it would still be the second-highest river crest in recorded history.
Iowa Senator Joni Ernst says she called out U.S. Ag Secretary Tom Vilsack over the happy picture his department is portraying when it comes to the current state of the farm economy.
“A week or so back he had met with a group and was trying to paint a very rosy picture of the farm economy — but that’s not what I am hearing — and I really did press him on that issue,” Ernst says.
The Republican from Red Oak says the things she sees in the state goes against what the former Democrat Iowa governor is saying about the farm situation.
“Right now we see corn is at $3 dollars and under (a bushel), I’ve seen that at my own hometown at the Merch in Red Oak. It is really hard for our farmers to get ahead with commodity prices being so low,” Ernst says. ” So, I will continue to press him on that.” Ernst says her concern is that the U.S.D.A.regulations and programs aren’t helping smaller farmers.
“He tried to tout a number of programs that U.S.D.A. has, but again I think the things that they promote — the GIPSA (Grain Inspection, Packers & Stockyards Administration Rule) is a great example of that — it really does inhibit some of those small beginning farmers from even getting a fair start,” Ernst says.
Ernst was asked if Vilsack is doing a good job as Ag Secretary. She focused her answer on the department and not Vilsack. “I’m not going to say yes or no about his role as ag secretary,” Ernst says. “But what I will say is that I think U.S.D.A. as a whole is trying to paint an optimistic rosy picture of what is going on, but in reality that is not what is going on. And I hear that every day in Iowa.”
Ernst says farmers need less government regulation not more. She referred back to the GIPSA Rule. “What I fear is that this will cut out those small farmers, those small operations, they won’t be able to engage in the contracts like we see some of the larger packers doing. So, this is an issue that has been brought up by the Iowa Pork Producers, they have spoken to me about this, they have great concerns there. As, well as some of those packing houses,” according to Ernst. She says the packing houses want to have a supply of livestock from a variety of sources and are worried the rule will prevent that.
Ernst made her comments during her weekly conference call with reporters.
A spokesperson with the U.S.D.A. sent Radio Iowa this statement in response to Ernst:
“Secretary Vilsack is a tireless champion for American agriculture, and has said several times recently that ‘it is always the wrong bet to bet against the American farmer, rancher, and producer.’ Median farm family household income has held steady at historic highs for the last two years, as a direct result of the hard work and good management by our farm families. Meanwhile, farm debt-to-asset ratios are near record lows, showing the underlying fundamental strength of the American agriculture.
This is why yesterday Secretary Vilsack expressed cautious optimism about the state of the agricultural economy, but at the same time he understands the challenges many producers are going through right now because of prices and oversupply in some parts of the sector. USDA recognizes that 10 percent of U.S. farms are highly or extremely leveraged, and that is why we have used every dollar of our farm loan authority and every last dollar of our CCC authority to provide help and assistance to those who need it. Specifically, USDA enrolled 1.76 million farmers in the new Agriculture Risk Coverage and Price Loss Coverage programs, which have provided $5.3 billion in financial assistance for crop year 2014, to more than one million farms. The past seven years have been the strongest in history for agricultural exports, while the past five years have been the best in history for median farm household income. Census data shows that incomes in rural America grew by more than 3 percent last year, on pace with income in metro areas. Rural communities are also beginning to see population growth, a dramatic fall in poverty and hunger, and more jobs in the last two years than at any point since 2007. There is concern, and the Secretary expressed that, but there is also cautious optimism. And that is why we have invested more resources than any prior Administration in the future of America’ rural communities, especially our young people and our new and beginning farmers.”
National Weather Service meteorologist Brad Small says many areas received over a-half-foot of rain.
“Unfortunately, that was as high as 6 to 10 inches in spots, with Cerro Gordo and Floyd counties especially hit,” Small said. Portions of the Winnebago, Shell Rock, and Cedar Rivers will rise to near record levels.
“It looks like we’re expecting river crests from Mason City through Shell Rock and into the Waterloo-Cedar Falls area will be the second highest crests on record — below 2008 levels — but still very significant,” Small said. Several homes and businesses in parts of Butler County are already flooded by the rapidly rising Shell Rock River.
“There have been some evacuations in Greene…unfortunately, it looks like the Shell Rock River will continue to rise through today,” Small said. An emergency shelter has been set up at North Butler High School in Greene. Classes at the school and throughout the district were canceled today.
In Floyd County, the Cedar River in Charles City is expected to crest in the major flood stage at 20.7 feet Friday afternoon. Sandbags are being made available to Charles City residents, who are being urged to conserve water and warned to prepare for potential evacuations. More rain is in the forecast for tonight. The heavy rainfall between Wednesday afternoon and this morning was accompanied by large hail and at least three tornadoes.
A Storm Lake teen has been charged after police investigated a report of a boy ingesting illegal, hallucinogenic mushrooms at the Storm Lake High School. Police learned the juvenile allegedly acquired the illegal mushrooms at the high school from another student, a 16-year-old male from Storm Lake.
The victim was taken to the hospital in Storm Lake for treatment and later released.
Police charged the 16-year-old with delivery of a controlled substance, a Class C felony. He was taken to the youth detention facility in Cherokee, awaiting an appearance in juvenile court.
(Reporting by Joel Hermann, KAYL, Storm Lake)