May 21, 2013

The counting’s done

Well, the counting’s done. Two men with a strong connection to hope came out on top in the 2008 Iowa Caucuses.

Democrat Barack Obama wrote a book called the Audacity of Hope and then made hope a central theme for his presidential campaign. His hopes for a Caucus Night victory were fulfilled. For the second time John Edwards finished second in the Iowa Caucuses and Hillary Clinton, the candidate who has led in most national polls, wound up in third place.

Almost immediately after the results were final Joe Biden and Chris Dodd announced their exits from the race. Neither claimed more than a percentage point of support last night. Bill Richardson claimed to be part of the "final four" with is fourth place finish.

Switching to the Republicans and returning to that theme of hope, former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee — a native of a town called Hope — won the Republican contest here. Former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney finished second.

It is unclear just who won third place as Fred Thompson and John McCain were knotted at 13 percent with a few precincts yet to report results after midnight. Ron Paul received 10 percent support. Rudy Giuliani garnered just three percent. Attendance at last night’s caucuses beat all previous records — smashed might be a better word. Almost 240,000 Democrats and 124,000 Republicasn turned-out. That is far more than turned out in 1988, the last time Iowa saw competitve races among Republicans and Democrats running for the White House. 

 

AUDIO: Henderson report (mp3 runs 3 min)

Democrats predict “record” and Republicans predict “respectable” turnout

By this time tomorrow, it will be history. The 2008 Iowa Caucuses commence tonight for both political parties in 1781 precincts around the state. Democratic Party officials are predicting participation will be at record levels. Republicans, by comparison, are expecting "respectable" turn-out. 

Today we bring you the voices of Iowans, not the candidates. On New Year’s Day Anya Robinson was still on the fence. "I still am undecided on who I want to caucus for. I feel like I haven’t gotten enough information about each of the candidates to decide yet, so I’m just kind of trying to figure out in the last couple of days to figure out who I’m going to be caucusing for, but I know I will be caucusing," she said.

Heather Withers says the three front-runners in the Democratic race all have their strengths and it’s been hard to choose. "I heard Obama and I just love his vision. I think he has something of Kennedy, something of Martin Luther King," she says. "Hillary — she has a lot of experience and…I would love to see a woman president."

Jane Neff admits the groundbreaking nature of Clinton’s candidacy is what got her in the Clinton camp. "I have to say it did. I think it’s time in the United States that we recognized what women do, but in the end…that alone could not make the difference," she says. "It had to be the right person for the job."

John Pritchard is backing Barack Obama — because of Obama’s diplomatic skills. "I think weneed that right now based upon our current administration and the hole they’ve dug us in," he says.

But Joe Biden, Chris Dodd and Bill Richardson have their supporters here, too. Bill McCallum’s been mulling a second choice in case Richardson doesn’t prove viable in the first round of voting. "Edwards looks fairly good. I was impressed that he gave some fairly direct answers to some questions. You know, Obama’s looking strong now," he says. "(Obama) seems to be really energizing people and that’s what it’s really about."

Turning to the Republicans, Kedron Bardwell caucused for McCain in 2000 and will do so again tonight. "I think he has a better shot at the nomination this time because it’s so wide open," Bardwell says.

Jeremy DeWitt is a Ron Paul supporter. "He stands as a true Republican for what the Republican platform used to be," DeWitt says.

The last time Iowans saw competitive races among Republicans and among Democrats was in the presidential race back in 1988 — and a total of 233,000 Iowans turned out that night for the Caucuses for both parties.

AUDIO: Henderson report (mp3 runs 3 min)

Republican race an endurance test

Republicans Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney appear embroiled in an endurance test as the hours tick down to the Iowa Caucuses. A Des Moines Register Iowa Poll released Monday night showed Huckabee leading Romney by six points.

"Two weeks ago I was looking at a 22 point deficit and now it’s too close to call," is how Romney cast the poll during a New Year’s Day interview with Radio Iowa. "Some polls have me ahead. Some have the other guy ahead and some are right in the middle, so it’s going to come down to who comes out and votes."

The other guy held a news conference Monday to show an attack ad Huckabee had prepared to strike back at Romney, but then Huckabee told the assembled media he’d decided against airing it on Iowa TV. "Just a matter of not feeling that it’s the right thing to do," Huckabee said about an hour later during an interview with Radio Iowa. "I just don’t want to do it."

"You know, I just don’t think that Governor Huckabee is going to be able to fool the people of Iowa anymore than he fooled the members of the media who were there. It’s a little like somebody standing up and saying, ‘I’m not going to call my opponent any names, but if I were to call him names — here are the names I’d call him,’" Romney told Radio Iowa. "No one’s fooled by that."

The jousting between the two men has been going on for weeks. For example, Huckabee repeatedly has rejected Romney’s suggestion that Huckabee needed to apologize to President Bush for suggesting Bush has employed a "bunker mentality" when it comes to foreign policy. "I think it’s also a responsibility for a candidate for president to talk about where you are different, where you would be different," Huckabee said during a New Year’s Eve interview with Radio Iowa. "I’m not running for the third term of President Bush."

Huckabee’s betting his fortunes on a mostly volunteer effort, including families making phone calls to Iowans on Huckabee’s behalf — with the kids making calls right alongside mom and dad. "They’re here from all over America. We probably have most of the states represented — people who have just come here to help us," Huckabee said during that interview with Radio Iowa as supporters dialed away on cell phones in the next room. "…They’re paying their own expenses. It is an amazing thing."

Romney, meanwhile, has spent his own time and considerable campaign financial resources in the state to build a network of supporters but Romney told Radio Iowa that, in the closing hours, he and his staff are focused on undecided voters. "I think the biggest surprise here is that Mayor Giuliani and Senator McCain and Fred Thompson really never connected with the Iowa voters to the extent that I had expected. I thought they would be, you know, the guys at the finish line and we’d all be racing," Romney said. "But the national, well-known names just didn’t connect here in Iowa."

However, John McCain showed up in third place in this week’s Des Moines Register Iowa Poll and McCain plans to divert himself from New Hampshire to make campaign appearances in eastern Iowa Wednesday. Last week, in a swing through Iowa that his campaign had billed as his last before the Caucuses, McCain opined that a candidate "can’t buy an election" — an apparent reference to Romney — and then McCain went on to tout the value of person-to-person campaigning. "And that’s what I like so much about it," McCain said.

During a question and answer session last week in Iowa, an audience member asked McCain — who is 72 years old — whether he had the stamina to serve eight years as president. McCain offered this in response, chosing to sidestep the question and talk about the campaign. "At this time now here after all of this preparation, you know, all of the work and organization, we’re really getting into the home stretch now and it’s really exciting," McCain said. "…It’s so invigorating."

Republican Fred Thompson has said he won’t be satisfied with anything less than first or second in Iowa — suggesting his course of action will be to drop out of the race if he doesn’t reach that threshold. The Des Moines Register poll also showed Texas Congressman Ron Paul could finish ahead on Thompson, as both were knotted with nine percent support in the poll.

 

AUDIO: Henderson report (mp3 runs 3 min)

Candidates ring in New Year

Some of the presidential candidates chose to usher the Old Year out in very public fashion here in Iowa. Democrat Hillary Clinton campaigned in eastern Iowa on Monday. Her husband, former President Bill Clinton, campaigned in western Iowa. Then, the two met in Des Moines for a New Year’s Eve Party organized by her campaign. Big Head Todd and the Monsters peformed before the Clintons. The group recorded the song Clinton now uses as a theme for her events.

Clinton spoke briefly to the crowd. "Iowans are going to start to pick the next president and I am excited and energized by that," Clinton said. "In the new year we think about New Year’s Resolutions. Well, I resolve that I, with your help, am going to run a winning campaign in 2008 and take back the White House." Clinton was joined on stage by her husband and her daughter.

Republican Mitt Romney stopped by an alcohol-free, family-friendly New Year’s event in Des Moines. Earlier in the day in Dubuque, Romney suggested it’s time for new resolutions in the nation’s capitol. "We need Washington to help our schools and make sure that our teachers and our parents and the kids come first and the (teachers) union comes behind," Romney said. "We need to make sure we settle the challenges in health care (and) get everybody insured in the private, free-market rather than handing out government insurance and government pay."

Democrat Chris Dodd rang in the New Year at an establishment named "Happy’s Place" in Dubuque. Democrat Joe Biden spent New Year’s Eve with family and friends — in private — after three public campaign appearances yesterday. "When power is handed off from George W. Bush to the next president of the United States — and pray to God it will be a Democrat — that Democrat will be left with literally no margin for error," Biden told a crowd in Ames.

Democrat John Edwards met with supporters in Mason City early Monday evening before gathering in private with his wife and children in Des Moines. Democrat Barack Obama held a mid-evening rally on the Iowa State University campus.

Around six o’clock, Republican Mike Huckabee visited with supporters who’d gathered at the Wakonda Club. It’s a private, members-only club. Huckabee joked during an interview with Radio Iowa that he just wanted to see what it was like. "I’d never been to the Hope, Arkansas, Country Club until my 10th year class reunion. That’s the truth," Huckabee said. "First time I ever set foot in the place was when I came back after being gone out of high school for 10 years and we had our class reunion and had a reception there and it was kind of like, ‘I always wondered what this place looked like.’ I was kind of surprised. I thought it was going to be something amazingly exclusive and, you know, it was just a place."

Republican Fred Thompson dropped by his campaign headquarters Monday afternoon to chat with supporters working the phones for him, then he dropped out of public site. Democrat Bill Richardson hosted a party at a Des Moines hotel Monday evening for his supporters.

Today many candidates plan to drop-by football-watching parties.

AUDIO: Henderson report (mp3 runs 3 min)

Polls show races too close to call

The three leading Democratic presidential candidates in Iowa and two of the Republicans appeared on the Sunday TV political talk shows. Democrat John Edwards on "Face the Nation" on CBS struck out at his two chief rivals. "Senator Clinton defends the system in Washington," Edwards said. "…I also don’t think this…sort of academic theory that you can be nice to people…will ever work."

Democrat Hillary Clinton on ABC’s "The Week" brought up the experience issue again. "Voters are trying to weigh each and every one of us. What people know about me is that I’ve been vetted and I’ve been tested," Clinton said. "…I don’t think there’s much doubt that I’m ready to go the distance."

Democrat Barack Obama on NBC’s "Meet the Press" suggested he, too, had been tested. "Look, I have been written about. I have been scrubbed. I have been vetted over the last year," Obama said. "…The people of Iowa…at this point know what I stand for."

Republican Mike Huckabee told "Meet the Press" host Tim Russert on NBC that no one has a clue who will win the GOP race on Thursday. "People in Iowa have been bombarded…not only on commercials, but also the mail," Huckabee said. "…I don’t know what kind of effect it has."

And during an appearance on "FOX News Sunday" Republican Fred Thompson, again, responded to a question about whether he has the "fire in the belly" to be president. "I’ve said that I don’t like every aspect of the way that people have to campaign nowadays in terms of process taking precedence over substance, but I’m in the middle of a 50 town tour in the state of Iowa, working day and night," Thompson said. "I think that pretty much speaks for itself."

Polls released on Sunday showed the Republican race between Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee too close to call.  Polls show Democrats Obama, Clinton and Edwards knotted in a sort of three-way tie heading in the January 3rd Caucuses.

 

AUDIO: Henderson report (mp3 runs 3 min)

Giuliani says he’s "going to do fine" in Iowa Caucuses

Rudy Giuliani Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani is stressing "attitude" in the closing days of the campaign here in Iowa.

"We have some big problems. We may even have some crises we have to face but this is about as well as human beings have ever been able to do it and we are the luckiest people on earth to be Americans and to have the ability to forge a future that is without limits," Giuliani said this morning in Des Moines. "…It’s all a question of attitude. It’s up to us and it’s up to strong, vigorous leadership that gets that from the American people, that harnesses that rather than decisions that get in the way of it and stiffle that kind of attitude."

Giuliani spoke Saturday morning to supporters crammed into his Iowa campaign headquarters. "2008′s going to be a great year…and the first 20, 35 days of the year are going be something like 29 primaries and caucuses, so it’s going to happen swift, fast and I believe we’re going to win and we’re going to win…with your help and your support," Giuliani told the crowd.

Giuliani grumbled about surveys which find a majority of Americans think the country’s headed in the wrong direction. "People with their heads down, people thinking America is not going to be as great in the future as it was in the past," Giuliani said. "That’s all about our decisions, I mean we get to decide if America is greater in the future or not based on the decisions that we make, the people we elect, the policies we put into effect."

As he has in the past, Giuliani stressed his "executive experience" as mayor of New York City and he mentioned the September 11th attacks five times during his 15 minute speech. Yet Giuliani’s main message was more upbeat than sober.

"I think of an America in which everybody can look up…and we can dream," Giuliani said, emphasizing the word dream. "We can dream about success. We can dream about having success."

Giuliani has not spent as much time campaigning in Iowa as some of his other GOP competitors and this will be his final trip to the state before the January 3rd Caucuses. Giuliani told reporters he is "going to do fine" in Iowa.

Obama says Washington experience a "gamble" in next president

Democratic candidate Barack Obama is warning Iowa audiences it’s a "gamble" for the country to elect a president who’s been a part of Washington politics. According to Obama, the "stakes" are too high to select a leader who’s been a government insider.

"I chose to run because I believe the size of these challenges have outgrown the capacity of a broken and divided politics to solve them," Obama said earlier today in Coralville. "I believe that Americans of every political stripe are hungry, they’re desperate for a new kind of politics."

Obama, like the other candidates traveling the state these days, has polished-up his standard campaign speech to make a closing pitch to Iowa voters. The three leading Democrats in Iowa — Obama, Hillary Clinton and John Edwards — seem to be presenting newly-distilled messages focused on the single themes of change and experience.

By the end of the day, nine presidential candidates will have made public appearances in Iowa.